This year, the Rwanda Patriotic Front (RPF) celebrated
its 30th birthday in a magnificent conference hall at its headquarters in
Gasabo, 15km outside of Kigali. The party headquarter complex looks like a five
star hotel resort; not a usual feat for political parties anywhere in the
world. What defines this discipline that has made this party successful in
politics, military, and business? RPF is very unique.
First, all of Africa’s rebel groups survive politically
because they largely conduct their military operations from territories where
the local population – largely for ethnic reasons – identify with them. Popular
support is critical because civilians provide recruits, intelligence, food and
morale to the rebels. In Ethiopia, Eritrea, Uganda, Liberia, Sierra Leone,
Mozambique, Angola, Somalia, Ivory Coast, this factor held. Because of Rwanda’s
ethnic configuration, the RPF fought in areas where it had little or no popular
support.
Secondly, many African rebels survive because of the
patronage of a foreign power like the Americans did in Mozambique and Angola
during the Cold War. RPF was financed by poor Uganda with President Yoweri
Museveni providing minimum support and insisting it develops internal
organisational capabilities for self-sustenance.
Thirdly, regime collapse to rebels in Somalia, Sierra Leone,
Liberia, and Ethiopia took place only after foreign support government had
dried out. RPF’s military victory was secured when French military assistance
to the government of President Juvenal Habyarimana was at its peak. The French
supplied weapons, trained the Rwandan army, and in some cases directly provided
command or instruction to government troops on the frontline.
Fourth, other rebel movements fight in areas, which have
rich minerals like diamonds and gold. Rebels rush to take control of such
resources to finance their military operations. This was the case with Angola,
DR Congo, Sierra Leone and Liberia. The RPF fought in a resource scarce
environment without rich minerals from which it could expect to generate
revenues to finance the war.
Finally, the average length of civil wars since 1945 has
been over ten years.
The RPF secured a military victory in less than four
years. Indeed the RPF could have captured power a year early but was literally
stopped by Uganda under pressure from the French; thus forcing it to the
negotiating table in Arusha. The RPF, therefore, exhibited unusually superior
organisational capabilities.
When RPF invaded Rwanda in 1990, it suffered a humiliating
defeat. On the second day of invasion, its legendary commander, Maj. Gen. Fred
Rwigyema was killed. Within a month all the top commanders had been killed, the
rebels repulsed, and the nation secured. This was a devastating blow to their
morale. Many soldiers threw away their weapons and deserted. Military victory
looked remote.
When Paul Kagame arrived from the U.S. to take command, he
found an organisation where high morale had turned into deep disillusionment,
confidence into self-doubt and hope into despair. Kagame once told me how, upon
arrival in the combat zone, he was taken to the sick bay. It was full of
hundreds of injured and groaning troops; the dead lay next to the dying. They
had lost almost all their best weapons, had no money, no food, and no
medicines.
How does one reorganize and inspire such a defeated and
demoralised army? It requires extraordinary fortitude, discipline, managerial
ability and strategic focus; someone who can inspire hope, mobilise resources,
reestablish command and convince a dejected and desperate group to go back into
battle. That man turned out to be Kagame. Short of him, it is inconceivable
that the RPF would have regrouped and become a formidable fighting machine it
turned out to be – and within one year.
Stanford’s Jeremy Weinstein has argued that rebel groups
face adverse selection problems in their recruitment; the commander is not sure
of the subjective motivations of his new recruit in joining rebellion. The new
recruit could be an infiltrator from government; that is why rebel groups in
Africa tend to be ethnically narrow – relying on the trust of the tribe rather
than the pull of political ideology.
If the rebellion is conducted in a resource rich region, the
recruit could also be a fortune seeker looking for quick economic payoff – to
grab a diamond or gold mine. Such a recruit will certainly not be seriously
committed to the political objectives of the rebel group. Weinstein refers to
this category of low-commitment, fortune-seeking, opportunistic recruits as
“consumers.”
Because the RPF fought an entrenched military regime in a
resource scarce environment, there was no expectation of an easy and quick
victory or a handsome financial payoff. So the opportunists either kept away or
when they joined, they immediately deserted. As a result, the RPF tended to
attract, as recruits, individuals who were highly committed to its ideology and
who were willing to make high sacrifices in pursuit of its political
objectives. Weinstein calls these high commitment individuals “investors.” RPF
conducted its operations in the Virunga Mountains where the physical conditions
were very harsh. It took extraordinary physical and mental strength to survive.
This way, the RPF was able to build an organisation of
like-minded, high commitment cadres who were physically and mentally strong.
This led to the evolution of a cohesive organisation with a strong esprit de
corps and a strong commitment to collective goals. Thus, whereas in
resource-rich environments the opportunists tend to crowd out high commitment
individuals, in resource-scarce environments the reverse happens.
With limited foreign patronage and given the commitment of
its cadres plus the effectiveness of its organisation, the RPF raised money
from its own people. From the poor refugee in a camp in Uganda who sold his
cows, to the expatriate working with an international organisation in Canada
who surrendered a part of is salary every month, everyone contributed. The RPF
is an important statement about poor people – that given the right incentives,
they can mobilise their savings and invest in causes they consider important.
As a result, five definitive characteristics emerged to
shape the character of RPF: first, a strong culture of self-reliance; second, a
penchant for fiscal discipline; third, a deep-seated hostility to corruption
and misuse of collective funds; fourth, suspicion and mistrust of the
international community which had been indifferent to their cause and fifth and
a high level of internal cohesion.
Today, these virtues of the RPF have shaped post genocide
Rwanda. They have led to confidence in the capacity of Rwandans to pull
themselves up by their own bootstraps. This is the basis of their confidence in
their identity i.e. ndi’umunyarwanda and their dignity i.e. agaciro.
*****
amwenda@independent.co.ug
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